statistics

Maybe this is a sign?

Not very pleasant events began to happen. The power supply died and took the screw with it. All my bookkeeping is on the screw, statistics with 2006 years and all screenshots of my transactions.

It looks like the universe is telling me: start from the beginning. Also the new year is on the nose.

In the states, apparently today is the pre-holiday session. I waited, waited, waited, waited, waited, waited, and they stopped once. Okay, at least today I quickly jumped out of the saw and saved myself nerve cells.



It seems time to end the trade, sum up the week, months, of the year. Relax and get ready for the new.

Anyway, tomorrow is definitely the last trading day of this year.

public analytics

didn't write SellSide on purpose, it's not really about.
certainly, I can think of something, but this is just wonderful:

Perhaps President Obama should announce a job summit every month — it seems to work.
Gives life. Rosenberg

only I see not angry here, but very ironic?)

Questions to the guru, or appeal to beginners.

The post is addressed to those, who is just taking the first steps in the market. Grubby traders scroll the feed further :)

I often see questions like: “Bought a eurodollar (Gazprom, gold, oil), And he (she, it) now falling. What should I do? Sell, or wait?”
If questions like this periodically ripen in your head, fingers tapping them in the comments, you are not ready for the market yet, even if you trade two, three, four years. Withdraw money, leave a small amount (100-500 Dollars) and train on it. I don't believe, that a person can learn to trade on a demo account, Paper, or some other surrogate. Comprehend some principles – Yes. Learn to trade – unlikely. Trading decisions must be made independently – only this speaks of trader maturity. When a person tries to find support for their actions in the words of a commentator on radio or TV, analytics, trading stars :) – it says one thing – the trader in you has not yet formed. This is the same as, as if you were walking down the street with a case of money and met a stranger, who says, what if you give him this case now, in a couple of days he will bring back two of the same. Very funny to read the statements: “I bought oil on your recommendation” – it's all from the same opera.
Try, and good luck will smile at you, but don't forget, that you are solely responsible for your every action. And in trading, and in life. In life, you can still blame on a bad background., Country, authorities, Relatives, the president. Trading on the market will fail.

PS I have achieved consistent results, just observing your best practices (nothing, By the way, there is nothing special about them). Although sometimes me “brings”, not without it. The system is good, but it is still being finished and polished. Increased profitability, when he stopped attaching great importance to that, what they say / write in forecasts, but I follow the external background. In this blog, I only express my thoughts, naturally, Rejoice, when they are confirmed. Exchange ideas. For no reason, for your own pleasure.

And again, a little bit about trading…

This week, immediately after the close of trading was driving, and several times on the radio listened to the report of Nadezhda Grosheva for the current day. It seems, all trading decisions are correct, logical, like a textbook. But, In most cases, directly opposite to my own. Nadia increases the shorts there, where i go to long, covers unprofitable short positions exactly in that place, where i start to get into shorts. Such a funny observation. Yesterday, in LJ with Roman Paramonov, someone wrote, what 90% players from the dealing room left for the weekend shopping, and me personally, closer to closing, increased short positions…

Dubai debt may be higher, how $ 80 billion. According to UBS analysts

27 november (Bloomberg) – Дубаи, emirate in the gulf of which state-owned companies seek to postpone debt repayment, may be due to more than $ 80 billion to $ 90 billion in liabilities, undertaken by investors, UBS AG аналитики говорится в записке. “Maybe Dubai debt includes significant off-balance sheet liabilities, которые предусматривают общее бремя задолженности значительно превышает $ 80 billion. to $ 90 billion. По оценкам рынков до сих пор,” Недвижимость аналитика Сауд Масуд писал в записке, yesterday. “This could mean, что долговые обязательства, выпущенные компаниейДубай в последние недели, является недостаточным для удовлетворения предстоящего погашения “.

Super secret trading strategy

US non-agricultural employment data for October continued “less bad” scenario and indicate that, that economic recovery is not expected in the near future. “Improvement” reflected less significant decline in employment -190 000 per month (worse than expectations), although the severity of this decline is offset by an upward revision for September and August as a whole by +91 000, which allowed the indicator to be less gloomy. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there was no particular reason for revision, but, usually, later reviews are included in the report, and in this case they turned out to be better, than forecasts, based on the latest statistics. This could be another sign of improvement.. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also notes, that the decline in employment in October was “less significant and less extensive”, than last winter. Nevertheless, the rate of growth in the number of working hours and wages is slowing down, and the unemployment rate increased by 0.4, reaching 10.2%. In this way, the report indicates, that the weakening of the labor market continues, while incomes and production volumes remain low.

The grail in action or the new high of the account.

Another report on my test trading strategy. The last two weeks have passed under the sign of working on bugs. I fell into the trap, which many traders fall into, acting on the principle “save”, but not “earn”. Trade began to somewhat resemble the structure of the layout of the Gaudí workshop, exhibited in the basement of the Sagrada Familia in Barcelona: many connections, balancing each other.



But it was worth making a mistake and a dangerous imbalance arose.. After trampling for a couple of weeks in one place, the deposit began to go into the minus. It turned out, that instead of, to punch, I hit with a relaxed palm. Therefore, I decided to focus on a smaller number of issuers and trade relatively short time frames. (within the week). Maybe, account volatility will slightly increase, but the maximum drawdown should remain within the stated 10%.



What to do, I weighed mine “Ferdinand” 200-millimeter armor on all sides and gave only a small cannon. As a result, he could hardly move, and was ineffective, although difficult to attack. Now part of the armor has been removed, and the cannon was replaced with a long-range 88 mm anti-aircraft gun. The result of the last trading week is visible on the chart. And if the total profitability for two months was 12.39%, then only for the last four trading days(the week was incomplete), the account got fat 5,04%. Shoulders, still, not used.



Why “Ferdinand” :) Some years ago, in the office we actively played in the evenings on the local grid in SuddenStrike2. Ferdinand (Elephant) was practically indestructible and very effective, although slow.

Research на 4 november

Hello, comrades. The bourgeois market battered many yesterday – was nervous and vague. In light of the multidirectional news, investors could not decide on the direction, the market was in chaos and confusion… Day summary: Dow -0.18%, Nasdaq +0.40%, S&P-500 +0.24%.

My total for the day + 4 ¢, and only thanks to discipline and endurance, though, […]

Chicago Trade Journal 2009-11-01 19:04:49

Just like life
"Наш бизнес, like life itself, not black and white. I guess, we all know¬eat it, Nevertheless, since we—traders, we want abs so badly¬lute, that we absolutely forget to think. It's just like math. Mathematics— this is absolute, but, when applied to the imperfect world of stocks and commodities, it becomes an instrument again, which just gives more clarity and definition to imperfection. You are welcome, never forget, what speculation—it is primarily a thinking business. If you are not very good at thinking, or, at least, find the rule¬new answers, then if I were you I would pull off the freeway.
The problem starts with the desire or hope to find some kind of all-encompassing automatic / systematic approach to trading…"

Reading Williams on Sunday ... not the best thing to do, but already tired of listening / talking about flu and quarantine

I also deal with thinkorswim, due to access to options, very passable thing!
Analyzing the bidding for the aluminum giant Alcoa, whose stocks are also very sensitive to daily congestions:

8/10 there was an abnormal surge of volume into the market at the top of the trend, imagine ourselves in the image of an eminent analyst with a good salary and suppose a correction, such a small, timid:

Daily volumes are located on the left, and highlighted in red(the filter contains the value- 700000 Shares, usually in the day around 5 prices, with volumes exceeding this)

Salary worked out, you can buy many gifts for your family for Christmas!

FED – U.S. Federal Reserve in 2021-2022 year

U.S. Federal Reserve (also known as the Fed ) is the central banking system of the United States. It was created in 1913 year as a result of the adoption of the Federal Reserve Act, largely as a response to a series of financial panics or massive bank flaws, especially severe panic in 1907 year. Over time, the roles and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve System have expanded and its structure has undergone changes.. Such events, like the great depression, were among the main factors, leading to changes in the system. His duties today, according to official documents of the Federal Reserve System, are divided into four main areas:

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