thoughts

Долгая, happy life…

[info]pratrader posted a series of posts, about that, what kind of life awaits us in the near future. Popular in fiction are considered (I remembered the book `` The Lord of the Abyss '' read at school) pseudoscientific ideas about turning a person into a kind of cyborg, victory over disease, gene modeling, increase in life expectancy to 200-300 years, and as a climax, separation of the brain from the body, putting it in a jar, creating virtual reality and achieving immortality. Than the author has already caused the emergence of a series of demotivators.
 As a child, I was very afraid of death. Tried to imagine, like this, see nothing, not to hear, don't feel, Believed, that in twenty years scientists will create an effective artificial heart (at seven to eight years old, death was associated with aging and stopping this organ) and `` we probably won't have to die at all…" It's hard to constantly live with the fear of death, therefore we invent or accept tricks, usually of the following types. First – religious – belief in the afterlife, reincarnation, etc.. based on the words of the prophets, sacred texts, and so on. Based solely on faith. Second, let's call it psychological – attempts to understand, what's behind the line by polling people, survivors of near-death experiences, transpsychological experiences, and so on. The third rejects the existence of consciousness outside the physical body and sees a way out in the development of science and medicine, life extension, improving its quality, and as a consequence, achieving immortality, even by turning into a lump of thinking matter. Our consciousness is arranged in this way, that a supporter of any of the ideas will snatch facts from the flow of information, self-righteous, and refuting other opinions. Until, until someone is convincing enough, to change the paradigm.
In my opinion, one of the greatest myths, which is now actively exploited, this is an increase in life expectancy. Positive results achieved, mainly, by reducing child mortality, and deaths, during periods of epidemics. Statistically. The real duration has increased very slightly, Furthermore, personal observations lead me to conclude, that people began to live less. Want confirmation? See the story of a kind, surely many will find great-grandfathers and great-grandmothers, Lived 95, 100, 105 years. See the closest relatives – 65, 70, sometimes 75. Subjectively, you say? Good, let's see the Renaissance. Leonardo – 67 years, Raphael – 37 years, Titian – 99 years, Michelangelo – 88 years, Botticelli – 65 years, Donatello – 80 years, Piero della Francesca – 72 of the year (Now I'm just typing the first on Wikipedia, what comes to mind).
My spongy conviction – man lives, while a program is running, the purpose of his life. It also creates vitality., and fills life with colors. When the program is worked out, and nothing comes in return – the body begins to rapidly deteriorate, diseases become more active, and the result will be death, if no new idea is found, task, it doesn't matter which one. All this is brilliantly described by the great psychologist Viktor Frankl, who made his conclusions based on the existence of people in extreme conditions – in this case – fascist concentration camp. Those survived in inhuman conditions, who had some purpose. Just don't have to think, that I reject the physiological causes of aging. Everything needs to be considered as a whole. But doesn't it seem strange, that many die, later 2-3 of the year, after retirement. It would seem that, the beginning of a new stage, Live and be happy, Rest, Enjoy yourself… An no, program, worked for decades worked out, but a new one did not appear. Aimlessness, meaninglessness of existence, and the logical result. That is why in the life of the brain in the bank, surrounded by virtual entertainment I can hardly believe.

In thought…

An interesting situation is developing.
On the one hand, off-scale optimism, company accountability, good data, easy take 1200 on S&P500, increasing growth, increased consumption in the States, decrease in oil reserves, liquidity support, some people didn't even understand, what was the crisis… It's a plus. Ie. general sentiment superbull.
With another, problems of some countries as they were, so they remained, raw materials are purchased for future consumption, but will they consume more (statistics show improvement, at least in the USA), Bubble pumping, Is there a bubble? Maybe a bubble in the heads of the shorts?
Subjectively. Enhanced growth S&P500 parabolic – it usually doesn't end well (to put it mildly), but how long can the impulse last – unknown, as always, all consider themselves the smartest, and what will have time to jump off. Arrival of new players to the FR (see previous post). Demura – predicts growth, Hedgehog plans to close short positions, many longists are thinking of starting short, even aggressively (line of defense 170000 RI, 1220-25 on S&P500). but, taking this milestone will only strengthen the growth parabola. In other words, there are shifts in the minds. Who put on the fall – exhausted and demoralized (partly we go on their fixing of losses and margin calls of small things), who followed the trend, Understand, what, as if everything is already, finita la comedia is coming, the more stock is made. You can fix and try for a short, and positionally. Question, how long will the optimism of newly arrived players and liquidity support be enough?.

UPD. A Western analyst has just been shown on RBC, unambiguously recommending to buy on every fall.

Another observation.

People often focus on being, what they want to see or hear, often forming an opinion or response from the very first phrases of the interlocutor or the words read. Since most of my LJ audience is trading in the stock market, many took my post yesterday as a dedication to a hermit trader, sitting in a cave and not communicating with anyone, to create a brighter future. Someone caught the bait and built their comment on this.. This is an example of, how do we get trapped in consciousness, inventing conditions for themselves, which prevents us from looking at the world from a wider angle. I'm not trying to teach with an enlightened look. It's just that I myself often fall into such traps..

PS By the way, several people grasp the essence of what was said :)

Obvious conclusion.

I was convinced by my own experience, that almost no-climbing stay at home, throughout the week, if you have everything you need, leads to the situation, when cash costs tend to zero. From what followed the conclusion, that young man, unencumsed by relationships, if he squeezes his will into a fist, will work remotely, buy products twice a week at the wholesale market, allow yourself only the cheapest prostitutes inexpensive entertainment, run in the park and do push-ups, and not go to a glamorous fitness club (still zero benefit), to maintain physical fitness, with a competent approach, for a very short time (from one year to three) will be able to secure cash flow, which will provide for the rest of his life.

Experiment

Imagine the situation. Humanity faced a hitherto unknown phenomenon. It manifests itself and it is no longer possible to brush it off.. Three independent research teams established. For experiment purposes, they will work completely autonomously, independently of each other. What will be the results, you think? I'm pretty sure, we get three pretty strong (depends on the composition of the groups and the worldview of the participants) differing conclusions, and each will be logical and reasonable. The reason may be, in the peculiarities of the human psyche, first find an idea, and then confirm and justify it. Continuing the logical chain, it can be assumed, that having adopted this or that result and its justification, humanity, further, can develop in three different directions.
Consider the phenomenon of telegony. Today it is considered superstition and obscurantism pseudoscience, not experimentally confirmed. but, even in the USSR of the fifties, Recognized, although rare. I think, whether our society is now more conservative, regarding sex, and the socio-political structure was approaching National Socialism, we would have confirmed “official science” knowledge, regarding telegony :)

I do not call to believe / not to believe in Telegonia, or some other phenomenon. Purpose of the post – just activate the thought process, and think, is the prevailing, in our mind, the picture of the world corresponds to reality. Any coin has two sides.

I will close with a few of my favorite quotes from Einstein.: 

`` Everybody knows, that it is impossible. But here comes an ignoramus, who doesn’t know – it is he who makes the discovery. "

"Science without the religion of chromium; religion without science is blind."

`` Imagination is more important, than knowledge. ''

My thoughts, ideas and notes in the first year of trading on the NYSE

Maybe someone will be interested in reading my thoughts, ideas and notes when I first started trading on the NYSE. I wrote down notes and rules for myself and re-read them before. Read the rules every day EVERY DAY, WEEK, MONTH NET-ohm in positive territory close, Analyze yesterday's trades always Trade with 10 10 To search for and enter the current in the best options, it is imperative to use a protective stop to cut losses and give profits to grow. Increase position in the course of movement on pullbacks Trade with the trend

Shit happens

Next competition tomorrow. Started to endure squeaks, try – stops/take are not placed. I tried this and that - they are not installed and that's it. Started looking at the code fucking. It is still not clear how it works in alpari (: In short, it is necessary to redo ):

In the meantime, another insight has come. I keep complaining that there are no normal conditions for normal trading., but I think the point is, that they will never be. Maybe it will be easier, but you still can't get the perfect alignment. We must accept this as a fact and learn to operate as it is.. In any condition.

About movement

I have motivation problems. Somehow I don't really need money. Not, well, it's cool there, by car, certainly, to ride, and not pushing in minibuses, etc.. But the truth is, what i can with pleasure, there is a noodle (not every day of course) and I do not strain at all from that, that my jeans are worn. Furthermore, I really like old clothes. She served me for a long time, and I am very reluctant to part with old shoes…

Undoubtedly, my family are those, for whom I am trying to achieve more. But misunderstanding and not a desire to understand (at least, not showing symptoms of a desire to understand) specifics of my occupation, to put it mildly, do not add motivation. But in fact, also counteract growth.

Improvement in results is directly related to prof. Growth. And it is almost impossible to develop without proper motivation..

Once I decided to try to go the other way. Two factors: increased sense of responsibility and understanding, that your own reputation is the only thing, spoiling which, no way back. So these two factors pushed me to, to make the diary public. And I started to cross-post him in LJ.

Despite the fact that, I'm a noob. I was made friends (and maybe even read) more than fifty traders. How will I present them in real life… it's a whole audience! Furthermore, there are those in the audience, whom I personally respect. Those, who did I read, when I still didn't know how to set stop-losses. And I feel a lot of responsibility, carrying your thoughts and considerations to the public.

I'm really uncomfortable, when I hit jambs and have to write about it. It seems to me, what did I fail, did not live up to expectations or just wasted someone's time.

I look at my trading background as a tuition fee. I consider my present a probationary period. And who I will be in the future - another nobody or a part of five percent - I will find out in a year.. But today I choose to be a professional. I'd rather salt the deposit at stop-losses, but i won't have, not a single accidental entry. Briefly speaking…

An important point. I declare. From now on, – no shit trades. Short rigid stop always available (already). Signal-only inputs. Market averaging only. Etc… In short, I will trade like this, as if I have a holiard of other people's money on the deposit. Maybe, this will grow my mini depot, and I will move on to serious work in the market.
I want to believe, that one day, they will talk about this place: here is the diary of a professional trader, who recently was one of a million non-traders. On a brisk path. (;

PS.
Taking advantage of, Case, thank everyone, who reads me and especially those, Who writes! You motivate me, thanks to you i try to be better!

GK codes.

When I first started trying myself in the financial markets, I ended up in the same forex kitchen. Well it happened. Naturally,, like all newbies, lost more than won (exactly won, it's just that this word is more appropriate here). Tried different strategies, read articles, visited forums, and once stumbled upon the site of MasterForex-V. And here is the insight, turns out, the reason for all my failures was the Consortium Main Computer. I've already written about this, and maybe it was not worth repeating, but I remembered a story about a man, which the, allegedly deciphered the codes of the Main Computer. And now there are many similar revelations in blogs.. The truth is not about the Civil Code, but about dolls and a worldwide conspiracy. There is such an idea, that consciousness, human perception is divided into thinking and proving. Thinking part comes up with an idea – for example, The earth is flat as a plate and rests on three elephants, The earth is round and is the center of the universe, The earth revolves around the sun, there is no earth, it is a figment of our imagination. Once the idea is accepted – the search for confirmation and evidence begins. Usually, evidence is, often through experimentation, as in the famous anecdote on the detection of hearing organs in a cockroach. Other people are busy looking for answers too., and yet can not find them, They will listen to this, who will be more convincing. Look here, he says. We tear off the paw of a cockroach – banging a stick on the table – cockroach runs away. Now let's tear off all six legs – hit the table with a stick – the cockroach remained in place. Output – the organ of hearing in a cockroach is in the legs! The attentive nod their heads happily, conduct their own experiments, convinced of their scientific nature, systematize, classified and designated by complex Latin names. A new branch of science appears, and all dissidents are called false scientists. And this continues until then, until someone is more eloquent and convincing, and the old system of knowledge can no longer explain the accumulated contradictions. This is how we live in a conventional belief system., values ​​and ideas about the world. Is it true or too far, or very close.

All this jazz

My market is strongly associated with jazz. For more «visibility», I want to suggest starting an audition and read more.

In jazz, usually, places where everything is melodic and downright replaced by some kind of noise, parse the melody in which it is not so easy. This noise is not always pleasant to the ear.. It's the same in the markets.

During the day I try to catch the melody of the market. In those moments, when everything becomes clear and pleasant — need to act. And when not really — just wait.

Yesterday, I fucked the whole melody and got into the noise. If you are listening to a song and at some point it starts to strain you — this is exactly when I made deals.



 

It all started with, that it was not possible to enter where I wanted. On the breakdown of the initial state balance. While the script was struggling with requotes on an accelerated motion. Opened items on 8 below conceived. Accordingly, the stop was not at all where it should be. I closed down immediately. According to the rule, after this you need to catch your breath for an hour..

While resting, sadly looked at the signals in the long. And then he also shorted `` just like that '', hoping for a breakdown. About what, paid immediately. Serves me right.


I fixed the situation with the third trade.. Brought the day to zero (+0.83%)

Amazing, but for all the aggressiveness of the environment and the deranged state, I still do not merge!

By the way, today I managed to buy FOR EVERYTHING instead of, to sell. Stupidly clicked in the wrong place. Closed in a few seconds, in positive and pre-infarction state.


Most likely everything this week. I went for a walk and rest. Will be back, I'll write a little about my self-motivation.

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