less significant decline in employment -190 000 per month (worse than expectations), although the severity of this decline is offset by an upward revision for September and August as a whole by +91 000, which allowed the indicator to be less gloomy. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there was no particular reason for revision, but, usually, later reviews are included in the report, and in this case they turned out to be better, than forecasts, based on the latest statistics. This could be another sign of improvement.. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also notes, that the decline in employment in October was “less significant and less extensive”, than last winter. Nevertheless, the rate of growth in the number of working hours and wages is slowing down, and the unemployment rate increased by 0.4, reaching 10.2%. In this way, the report indicates, that the weakening of the labor market continues, while incomes and production volumes remain low.
In general, I don't follow the competition closely, but once a week I go through the results. In the black – less than half of the participants. Sane result (more 5%) have about 250 man from 708, slightly more than a third, which is not bad in general. Plus or minus 5% on the account – nothing more than noise, in my opinion. By the way, on the Amateur Alternative Best Private Investor, in the green zone the absolute majority of participants, although the performance is not the same, that the leaders of the project from RTS. It just blows away here – dettier has done already 3627% and dispersed the depot from 36K to 1 314TO!!! But now, I think, near 2-3 million, the most interesting moment will begin. See.
They brought a savage from the Tumbo-Yumbo tribe to the city and taught how to use the TV. Now, certainly, savages went literate, and telly is used only in this way, but still suppose… They gave him a remote control, and said: You will press this button – will turn on, you will press this – will be louder, this – another program will go. Now our savage lives in a new place, day lives, two lives. The button will be pressed – TV turned on – life is good :) But on the third day, someone cleaned up the room and pulled the plug out of the socket. Our hero woke up in the morning – the button first “тык” – does not turn on. He once again, “тык”, “тык”. The moon is the devil, does not work. Yes it does not work, i tell you, DOES NOT WORK. And he runs to another such savage, to report, that the white man deceived him in the most impudent way, because as he said: “you press the button – will turn on”, but does not turn on, then there is no more faith in the pale-faced. And the message flies through all savage communities, and an opinion is formed, and cheating is discussed at all gatherings… …until the cleaning lady next plugs in the plug.
Following the release of Friday's unemployment data, supporters of the apocalyptic development of events in the market were already happily rubbing their hands, anticipating, that now, for sure, everything will fall into the abyss, but it didn't work out. Markets took the news negatively, but then they recovered quickly enough. I said that, the picture on the chart would be aesthetically ugly, harmony is inherent in nature, proportions. When I was studying to be an architect, US, within the course, gave a three-dimensional composition. Something like this sounded: “Boys, here we often suffer, draw a bunch of sketches on tracing paper – does not work, ugly, not that… And finally, here he is, masterpiece. Now take it and draw it in proportion.. What happened?”. Idea, I think, understandable. We often spend incredible efforts., instead of, to act rationally. It's easier to go with the flow, than row against. Harmony is already inherent in us by nature. Many ancient buildings were built according to the laws of the golden section. The spiral of the Ionic capital is built in accordance with the series of Fibonacci numbers. Russian architect Zholtovsky was a big fan of finding proportions in nature., and as a consequence, all “Stalin's neoclassics” based on these principles. From the lips of technical analysis detractors you can often hear, what is TA – chimera, placebo, no accurate statistics, mathematical justification, all this is very subjective and unscientific. May be. But all our assessment of the surrounding reality comes from our subjective perception.. Here's a favorite example. Foreign tourist on, say, La Rambla in Barcelona. Beautiful architecture, sun, warmly, the sea is splashing nearby, a lot of money on plastic, which can be spent on all sorts of pleasures. And the bum, sitting in a nearby alley. Objectively, these two people are in the same place. Subjectively, everyone will draw their own picture of the world. People, by perception, are divided into four categories. Majority, about 80%, visuals. Obviously, there are a lot of such among traders. Graphical analysis gives a very clear picture, visually reflecting the general market sentiment, efficient, easy to use, and does not require powerful economic knowledge. No need to be smart, enough observation and discipline. That, that the majority of market participants trade in TA, only strengthens his position. look, for example, how clearly the eurodollar has moved between fib levels over the past couple of weeks, is this not a reflection of natural perfection?! Most financial analysts, in my opinion, belong to people with a mathematical mindset. They perceive reality through the prism of complex formulas and calculations., and enjoy it. This does not mean, that their point of view is wrong. It just may differ from the point of view of the majority., and in the market you should not stand against the movement of the crowd, trampled. Lose money, mostly, because of emotions, illiterate money management, desires to catch the end of the movement, or, against, following the trend on his breath. In conclusion, I will give a graph for S&P500. Objectives, indicated in this post they were written about in many trading blogs. Everything is clear, by Murphy. How could you not make money on this?? :) Now, in a week, possible formation of the right shoulder. If the pattern is implemented, and a breakdown of the neck line will take place, correction awaits us, with a view to 950-960. And further up!
I do not believe in a global apocalypse, at least, economic. It's just that it will affect absolutely everyone., including, the mighty, but they are unlikely to be interested in this. Output options are available, and tested since ancient times, remember Solon's reforms. Believers in big n…h, can continue to buy carcass and cartridges. We are on the same street, but we play different roles. Personally, I prefer the role of a wealthy foreigner :)
the week was sluggish. despite the daily selection of a large number of stacks – during the whole week there was no opportunity. more than half days I was inactive, because. did not see a single entry point for myself, where it would be worth going and I understood, what's happening. as a rule, the price moved sadly from the line, breakdown of which would lead to a short, to the long line and back. but on the day you can see, how a corridor was formed somewhere, but somewhere narrowing the range. all this suggests, that the next week will probably be richer.
today only zeros entered RGC
judging by the dynamics after the release – there was no chance of taking a normal profit.
improved the research method the, that I began to give more weight to the days, than 5m.. and it pays off – now if i see, what's on the day so-called. narrowing the range, or a clear range during the last 3-4 and more bars – only then I watch how she walked within the day and add to the plan. now I began to hit the levels more accurately. the point is, that this is how I select the most powerful candidates for the breakthrough.. when searching, I came across a lot of stacks, which formed interesting formations within the past day, but on the day it looked like an ugly candle vinaigrette. but later the whole picture collapsed – breakouts were false, the price did not reach and collapsed even earlier. I think so, that it is caused by a change in mood for a new session, expiration of limit orders. but if you can see in the daytime, that the shadows of several candles rested on approximately one line , then this already speaks of the strength of the level and the breakdown of it would probably have greater strength.
well, it's better to see once, than hear a hundred times :) right?… here is an example of a not very good situation for me. i would say not reliable:
Yes, actually, no one bothers to catch volumes at the moment of breakout and enter, spat on the day. but now I will not be distracted by such monitoring, most likely this stack will not get to me in the daily plan.
and here is an example of a ticker, which i like. ie. I look at the day and think `` yeah! I have confidence in this daytime cut. ”. this is always nice and interesting to put on watchlist and sniping :)
something like this… of course still run in and out) but the mainstream – here it is.
Another report on my test trading strategy. The last two weeks have passed under the sign of working on bugs. I fell into the trap, which many traders fall into, acting on the principle “save”, but not “earn”. Trade began to somewhat resemble the structure of the layout of the Gaudí workshop, exhibited in the basement of the Sagrada Familia in Barcelona: many connections, balancing each other.
But it was worth making a mistake and a dangerous imbalance arose.. After trampling for a couple of weeks in one place, the deposit began to go into the minus. It turned out, that instead of, to punch, I hit with a relaxed palm. Therefore, I decided to focus on a smaller number of issuers and trade relatively short time frames. (within the week). Maybe, account volatility will slightly increase, but the maximum drawdown should remain within the stated 10%.
What to do, I weighed mine “Ferdinand” 200-millimeter armor on all sides and gave only a small cannon. As a result, he could hardly move, and was ineffective, although difficult to attack. Now part of the armor has been removed, and the cannon was replaced with a long-range 88 mm anti-aircraft gun. The result of the last trading week is visible on the chart. And if the total profitability for two months was 12.39%, then only for the last four trading days(the week was incomplete), the account got fat 5,04%. Shoulders, still, not used.
Why “Ferdinand” :) Some years ago, in the office we actively played in the evenings on the local grid in SuddenStrike2. Ferdinand (Elephant) was practically indestructible and very effective, although slow.
All last year Bob traded. He's still a rookie., but has already made hundreds of transactions. Today he's in The Long Onel.. He has a plan.. It manages risk. This deal does not stand out from its other positions.. There is no reason to somehow differentiate this deal, but somehow she still stands out. He is not sure, what can trade today. He wonders, why does he continue to trade. He thinks: “Do I like it all? What is the purpose?? What I want to achieve in general?” In this deal, right now, Bob carries an excess emotional burden.. He went into a business as usual, but made it a symbol of the overall picture; gave her deep meaning. Bob examines, what exactly does this deal mean to him. Most traders advise taking a day off., when such thoughts appear.
It is high time for the management and employees of the RTS exchange to be prosecuted for disrupting trading and manipulating quotes.. In America, they would get fucked in full for this. But in Russia, the future meravian fenance center, you can do whatever. FFMS turns a blind eye to this chaos.
Here you can do whatever you want – if you want, you can toss ballots in a disproportionate amount for the desired party, if you want, you can wear shoulder straps, plump, drive in the opposite lane, shoot down pregnant women or just ram other cars with people. You can take subordinate military personnel and go to solve personal issues. Or you can simply take away the cargo at customs by declaring it contraband. You can kill Russian soldiers and become the president of the republic in the Russian Federation. You can fly in a helicopter and hunt Red Book animals. You can still steal the federal budget for tens of millions of dollars., pay a fine of thousands of rubles, and with a suspended sentence and fresh capital to get a job as mayor in another city. Everything is possible here for money. And with power and money in general, everything, everything, everything.
Briefly speaking. In the morning, trading on FORST RTS did not open again. Of course, they did not open for technical reasons.. Hmm, for what reasons they still cannot open. It was impossible to withdraw and submit applications. But many saw in their glasses how quotes were running, as if the bidding is underway. Moreover, the decrease / increase in prices reacted to the MICEX and Dax. Year, one and a half ago, on the chart of a futures on ind.rts, a few minute candles once popped up a quote before trading. Many joked that it was from the future.. At the close, the chart plotted exactly the same candles for the formation and price – “prediction” came true.
Here I asked a question to the exchange. But I think, like everyone else in this country, they will let the brakes go and the topic will be deleted, how admins have done it more than once.
Exchange questions 1. Whose placed orders we saw in the order book before the opening of trading 10.55 (these quotes have been seen by many bidders. I wrote down some of the quotes on the saw and will post it later.)
2. How could they get into the order book if the exchange did not work. (it doesn't matter yesterday or today, what were they doing there?)
shl. my IMHO These are the orders of the RTS quotation robot, providing liquidity in the order book. because. decrease and increase in prices reacted to the movement of the MMVB / SIPI / DAC index. That is why with Troika as a former Market Maker of this instrument (futures on the rtc index) no new contract was signed. Because RTS has created its own robot, and MM no longer needs services. This robot can do whatever you want. Want up- want to go down. Any quote.
Today RTS was openly burned and showed everyone, what a robot, who constantly played with orders in glasses, who extinguished all movements and threw applications this is their robot. RTS holds competitions for the LPI , identifies strategies, chooses something for his robot. RTS decided to cut coupons itself – she is so greedy. RTS dropped to the level of the second-rate forex office RTS – KITCHEN.
