📌 Market Digest: 31 Martha 2025 of the year
🔥 Prelude
Today, global markets are showing mixed dynamics. Investors assess the results of the quarter, react to macroeconomic indicators and follow new geopolitical events.
📊 **Key events of the day:**
✅ OPEC talks support higher oil prices
✅ The technology sector shows recovery
✅ Cryptocurrencies show sharp fluctuations
💡 **What this means for traders?**
Markets continue to adapt to changing economic conditions. U.S. Inflation Sparks Discussions About Future Rates FED, and the volatility of oil and cryptocurrencies creates short-term trading opportunities.
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📊 **Financial statements of companies**
💠 $NVDA NVIDIA – Revenue Growth by 25%, net profit +18%, the demand for AI chips is growing. Analysts predict further growth. (A source: Reuters)
💠 $SBER Sberbank – Revenue +12% thanks to small business lending, margin is decreasing due to the rates of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. (A source: RBC)
💠 $TSLA Tesla – Shipments to China increased by 8%, contributing to the growth of shares by 1,5%.
💠 $NFLX Netflix – Subscriber Growth in Asia by 12% strengthens the company's position in the streaming market video.
📊 **What does this mean for the market?**
Technology and financial companies show strong growth, which supports the overall positive mood in the stock markets.
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📈 **Macroeconomic indicators**
🟢 Inflation in the United States - PCE rose to 3,1%, reinforcing expectations of a tightening of Fed policy.
🛢 OPEC report – Possible production cuts by 1 million barrels supports the growth of oil prices.
🏦 European Central Bank – Left the rate unchanged, declaring the need to control inflation.
📊 **Inference:**
Expectations of interest rate hikes in the US support demand for the dollar, And oil quotes are supported by a possible reduction in production.
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📉 **Stock Markets**
📌 S&P 500 – +0,8% to 5,600 amid the growth of the technology sector.
📌 Nasdaq – +1,2% thanks to the recovery of shares of large IT companies.
📌 MOEX Index – -0,5% to 3,200, The pressure of strengthening the ruble.
💡 **Recommendations:**
✔️ Monitor the dynamics of the technology sector – short-term opportunities for growth are possible.
✔️ Expect investors' reaction to US inflation data.
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🇷🇺 **Russian Market**
🛢 $LKOH Lukoil – +1,2%, Stable oil supplies strengthen the company's position.
💰 Rouble (USD/RUB) – Dropped to 92,50 due to rising commodity prices.
📊 **Inference:**
Oil companies remain stable, And the ruble is strengthening against the backdrop of commodity growth.
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💵 **Foreign Exchange Market (Forex)**
💶 EUR/USD – -0,3% to 1,0850, The dollar is gaining strength.
💴 USD/JPY – +0,5% to 150,20, expectations of a rate hike in the US.
📌 GBP/USD – -0,2% amid weak UK economic performance.
📌 AUD/USD – +0,3% due to rising commodity prices.
🔎 **Trading Opportunities:**
✔️ Buy USD/JPY when 149,80, goal 150,50, stop loss 149,40.
✔️ Sell EUR/USD when 1,0880, goal 1,0800, stop loss 1,0920.
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🛢 **Commodity Markets**
⛽ Brent oil – +2% to $85 thanks to OPEC negotiations.
🏅 Gold– -0,7% to $2,450, Dollar strengthens.
📌 Silver– -1,1% to $28,75, Pressure from rising bond yields.
📊 **Inference:**
Rising Dollar Puts Pressure on Precious Metals, And oil continues to move up amid reduced supply.
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🔮 **Futures**
📊 S Futures&P 500 – +0,6% to 5,620, RSI = 60, Moderate bullish trend.
🛢 WTI Crude Oil Futures – +1,8%, price $82.
📌 Coffee futures – +2,3% due to lower inventories in Brazil.
💡 **Recommendations:**
✔️ Consider buying oil futures in case of pullbacks to $80.
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🏆 **Cryptocurrencies**
⚡ Bitcoin (BTC) – +3% to $65,000, Institutional interest supports growth.
⚡ Ethereum (ETH) – +2,5%, $3,200, Waiting for a network update.
📌 Solana (SOL) – +5% by expanding the ecosystem.
💡 **Trade Idea:**
✔ Buy BTC/USD when $64,500, goal $66,000, stop loss $63,800.
✔ Buy SOL/USD when $140, goal $150, stop loss $135.
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🌍 **Geopolitics**
🔹 U.S. and China – Tariff negotiations continue, Possible impact on commodity markets.
🔹 Elvira Nabiullina (CB RF) – "We are waiting for inflation to stabilize in the second half of the year".
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🔗 **Conclusion**
Today, the markets are moving under the influence of inflation expectations and strong corporate reports. Keep an eye on oil, cryptocurrencies and the technology sector – there may be better opportunities there!
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