Therefore, further I will simply interpret the current situation in the markets..
- IN i wrote, what
1) not all growth targets have been met yet.
– At this moment, can tell, what GOALS met ALL. Therefore, the recommendation to cover all longs, which may still be hanging by some dick.
2) 31 August wrote, what “For oil, last loy (72.3) there will be no less loyem, than on “a few weeks a couple of months”. Так и получилось… But where are her goals – я ХЗ. Therefore, I would look in fact at the volumes, and not on Price. How will it go to buy enough volumes – would close the pose. In the meantime, keep there.
3) I wrote, that after all the goals are completed, there will be blood pressure, with breaking through all the nearest(!) supports on monthly charts. The question is, when открывать позиции… At this moment, I haven't changed my view.
So let's figure it out, with the word when
so. I'll start in the style of Taleb))))) Who am I in the market, bull or bear, if I suppose, what
– the market will go up with a probability of 70% points by ~ 50 (micex)
– the market will go down with a probability of 30% points on 350 (micex)
???)))
By idea, in such a situation you need stupid to sell, because positive mate. waiting on your side :) But how do you sell futures, without input signal?) And stop where? But I will not buy ties)) For how long this movement will last at 350p on the index, I do not know. May expire. And selling Calls is dangerous and unprofitable, because. 70% growth probability))) Now, if the mamba this week will be 1500 – I will sell calls (out of money) столько, что можно охуеть). In the meantime…
In the meantime, we look at the formations:
Amer will most likely go down falsely, because there are fucking beautiful resistances on the daytime and just IMORAL BYCHAR sentiment. And then they will break through the last resistances, which will punish impatient bears and raise the bullish RP. About the same as on micex now ()
sentiment falls sharply on the loi..
I'll probably cancel it. Там будет
more complex construction)
Ну а потом…. buit AD))
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By volume:
Along РИ obviously not enough current trade, что бы развернуться way down.. Not everyone was squeezed out))
By ES, if I hadn't seen candlestick formations – I would have thought that there would be a way out, as in RI. But now I doubt)) I'm waiting for some fucking)
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ИТОГО:
All the specifics, which can be squeezed out of the given text:
- Я предупреждал, that there is no clear entrance yet)) There are only options.
- There are longs? Go to the cache. No longs – DON `T OPEN.
- Waiting for a powerful upward movement? OK. Better wait it out in the cache, and after зашортите %)) For the growth parameters are now, that no mid-term, having opened a position now you CANNOT get your take profit (at least 100p mambas)… But at the same time, stop losses of shorts can be knocked out)) Because stops are less than take profits))
- Triggers to start searching for the entrance to the SHORT: breaking through daily resistances on amers, the accumulation of volume on rashka and oil with an increase in quotations.
- After breaking through ~ 1500 by micex, I will sell calls with higher strikes. Until I find a very good entry to short on futures with a short stop.
- If, after all triggers have been triggered, downward movement begins – go in for a fucking purpose))
- VERY IMPORTANT: if amers update hai, and we will merge at the same time – do not sit, fuck, as on the program “Hypnosis with Dmitry Dombrovsky”, (pier, шозанахуй – i'm better in cache), and open short fucking positions!!!)) Because we will be the first to fall..
- All this fucking before BP may take more than one week… Or it may not be delayed.. that's why, relax)
p.S.
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