most important in the new issue of the IMF

The main finding, based on data for 28 economies, is that the multipliers used in generating growth forecasts have been systematically too low since the start of the Great Recession, by 0.4 to 1.2, depending on the forecast source and the specifics of
the estimation approach. Informal evidence suggests that the multipliers implicitly used to generate these forecasts are about 0.5. So actual multipliers may be higher, in the range of 0.9 to 1.7.

but for two years already, how people say 'come to your senses!'
don't listen, continue to struggle with deficit …  

  Trading ideas on 20 October
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