forecasts then, epta..
Тэкс… I'll try to summarize everything clearly:
3 weeks ago, I have painted my view on the market and set goals. ()
My long error, который закрылся в б\у несмотря на идеальный вход заключался в том, that i came too early. It's too early, because the market was not yet ready for growth, because. was overabundance of bullish sentiment (cm. in the screen, the indicator under the chart). That's why, i decided to wait, when there will be an excess of bullish sentiment out of the market… for that, that would be growth on indices became possible (how the ballast discharge is shorter =)
Installed the first goal further fall, from which the rebound will occur. She worked point to point, but the very fact of, that he didn't make it, and worked for me signals that, that this is the first target for the mid-term short with highs.
so, see what happened:
As you can see, sentiment really fell, which does not prevent the growth of indices so far…
In my view I wrote 2 basic ideas for extra profit:
1) √ It is very profitable to enter long (пониже, than at the time of writing Togo поста) and hold on until hes, which I expect.
2) After that, how will we update the hai, play long-term short…
As you can see, everything is done in order.. With Loya Ri has already done 14 000P, although not all goals have been achieved yet…
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The only jamb in my view, where was the inaccuracy, so it is in terms… On the monthly chart, it was really difficult to predict that candle (сентябрьскую), which is now in fact)) I thought, will go down first…
But.. I realized my inaccuracy in time, And 31 August wrote a post, which allowed to open longs ()
Visually, it's here:
For specifics, I wrote my own in the forecast “stop” (dot, in which the forecast is recognized as completely incorrect). It was easier to do it with oil, so I wrote about oil.
Specifically for oil, I still wrote, what this is a mid-term forecast, а не трейд, and i'm in cache. because, at least loy on 72.3 will not be updated yet long enough – it doesn’t mean yet, what to buy right now.. Because. there the stop loss was obtained 5$!!! But the very next day the market made it possible to enter very profitably, with a stop in $ 1.6…
This is what I mean, what trades are trades, and the forecast – this is a forecast. When I give a mid-term forecast for the next few weeks – NO NEED write me, that I screwed up, if immediately after the release of my view the market goes to 1 point not in my direction)))) And in fact, many do so.)
p.S.
Further, in my view, after completing all goals – I will shorten the HELL…
This is of course true… but to say for sure, when will it be possible to short – I'm at a loss for now… Here the formations will give nothing… Volfix monitor, I will not open without signals from there..
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I will answer the kammenty not earlier than at lunchtime)) *sebal to sleep *.
