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Dragon Capital talks about default….

Dragon Capital: Ukrzaliznytsya misses payment on syndicated loan 91) ☆ Page 1/2
The state-owned railway monopoly Ukrzaliznytsya has missed a principal payment
on its $440m three-year syndicated loan attracted in 2007.
The company’s other external liabilities include a $700m seven-year facility
from Deutsche Bank, attracted in October 2004 and guaranteed by the government,
and a $120m long-term loan from the EBRD attracted in August 2004. While
Ukrzaliznytsya said it was making timely payments on the EBRD loan, we do not
rule out the company’s liquidity problems could complicate matters. On a
positive note, we clarified with government lawyers that the $440m loan, which
had been arranged by Barclays, and the state-guaranteed Deutsche Bank facility
were provided to two different legal entities and do not contain any cross
default covenants. Ukrzaliznytsya therefore can restructure the Barclays loan
without forcing the redemption of its state-guaranteed liability, and we expect
the restructuring to be completed in the near future.
You can reach us by phone at (+380-44) 490-7120, or by e-mail at
[email protected].

Rumor has it

Rumor has it , that Ukraine defaulted on its bonds. This also influenced the negative dynamics..

The amendment is not Ukraine, and the Ukrainian railways

Recovery, Relapse, Adaptation?

U.S. 3-Month Bills Turn Negative on Concern Risk Rally, I think, you saw it, heard and already know what the matter is.
Besides, что график 5летних трежарис "смотрелся" up long ago (yield down), I had no special considerations,
although I've been shouting about bonds for a month)

my interpretation, probably still the same for the same too significant period of time.

task (for example, the Fed) – stretch the period of adaptation to a new reality – survive the bubble-not-bubble-but-something-unpleasant collapse calmly, to avoid fate 29-33 and Japan (comparisons for beauty, eu-but situations overlap in scale and circumstances).

in other words – the task is to ensure a soft landing, how will it go.

the economic growth – 1) inventory cycle; 2) confidentiality (everyone managed to get scared, but everyone managed to suffer); 3) incentive – what did someone expect, that they won't work (their task is to stop the fall, not to ensure growth).

the transition to such a mental structure by the market gives us a curvature of the yield curve (growth of long rates, reduction of short), which, in general, is a normalization of market expectations.

a plus, increased demand for short securities may be fueled by fears of near-term currency risk shocks.
or depleting the potential of any emerging markets, which will reorient keritrade flows into the interior of the United States (plus and foreign exchange risk is eliminated).

certainly, as always, all this may not mean anything, especially for stocks.
but here he is the first really strong sign, about that, what all, arrived, ride, now it's time to carry the sled.
the question is not about the distribution of pies, but on any outskirts in the center of the world, panic can be arranged)

638 ways to kill Fidel Castro

  Fidel Castro's death is reported on TV again, but they remain rumors. I started looking for information about the murder on the Internet and came across a bunch of material, almost every month they write that he was killed , but he apparently does not kill. Fidel Castro, legendary person, whose life was attempted 638 once, he survived the darkness of American presidents and Soviet general secretaries, recognizable all over the world.

Scalper of dicks



I almost got shit right away.

Again twenty five: need to top up, and I'm going out ):

It was possible to hold for two hours… (or even two days) Although, I think the entry price will still be quite good, but already on for me. Naturally, it's not a fact. I would sit in a pose - I would watch. After all, at any moment everything can change.

Not, the trader is not paid for it. By the way, it will be necessary to clearly formulate why…

***

Basically, I have a little left: keep in and out on time. It's not bad with the entrances yet..

One more thing

Balancing in a very narrow range.

Of some 55 points.

Oh break through and let's go…

***

I noticed an interesting bullshit. What is intuition? One option is fast logic. So fast, that you yourself do not have time to realize. So here. It happens that I open the chart and at that second "fuck, need to be short ". Then I start to doubt, after all, there was really no analysis. While I doubt everything goes down. And again "damn, need to be short "… And again doubts, this time already on the topic of the departed train. And again everything continues to fly down. As a result, for the third time I enter the position and perfectly catch the corrective movement against myself. Or even a reversal…

But it gets worse! I enter the position as it should, but out of doubt (or something else) close. So the day before yesterday I waffled a great short, and today such a long normal.

results 18 november

1) Something the bubble in the Treasury market is not deflating in any way. sad how. the dollar is certainly funny, but within reason. in general the markets are beautiful.

2) thanks to everyone who congratulated. and in general, thanks to everyone.

3) lost, Happens. I hope Mikhailichenko will stay.

///

4) think, that these are bad politicians in Ukraine? listen to Testimonee Geithner now. I continue to be amazed, it's some kind of madness in people's heads. complete, Sorry, not shooting anything at all. (not all of course, on the contrary, there are dialogues in essence).

MICEX

Who said, that the MICEX is not technical.
Here is a 2x hourly chart with a drawn channel from the distant past. :)))

Not news & results of the week



Not news fest.

Yesterday was a classic shortwing. Not quite right, what i expected, but close. Europe is balancing today, probably America should make a breakdown.

If Eurobucks opens by states below 1.48940 (and most likely it will be so) and if it suddenly closes with growth, then we will see another Whiplash. Buy accordingly.

Plan B - hike down, finishing the head shoulders and continuing down… Plan B seems more likely to me due to the overloaded with divergences of the daily timeframe.

***

Tomorrow I will go to earn money in the real sector, I 'm afraid, you won't be able to bargain. So that, hike, the current trading week is over.

Half a deal for the whole week (: On the one hand it is frustrating, but on the other hand it disciplines. After my overtrading, I think there is something positive about it..

***

This weekend I plan to finish the Whiplash robot and will already launch it into battle. The first will be. Still need to make Whiplash-turkey.

I lose more and more confidence in manual trading. Robots would lick electricity and the Internet, the rest does not bother them.

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