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Day off)))

Comrades!

26 november, on Thursday, exchanges and markets are closed

Thanksgiving is celebrated in the USA.

Thanksgiving Day in the USA

Thanksgiving Day is celebrated in the United States on the fourth Thursday of November (Thanksgiving Day). This is one of the most popular holidays in the country..

Thanksgiving was first celebrated in 1621 year by English colonists, living […]

scalping?

I accidentally took it and, from idleness at lunchtime, figured it out, it seems, in the scalping technique.
correct, what's wrong?

1. only glass level2 is needed, tape doesn't help much, minute chart.
2. choose a highly liquid stack, who rushes in range 1 cent for 5 minutes or more (Citibank is perfect now, for example)
3. смотрим в стакан и подсчитываем ориентировочно "на глазок" by the number of orders and the width of the level on which side is the advantage.
4. if on the side of buyers, then we start buying – 1 cent profit, 1 cent stop. all hands. one finger is placed on the buy, another to sell all around the market and let's go: if citibank is now walking on 4.16, Spread – 1 cent, we – 4.15, ask – 4.16.. wait until the price becomes equal 4.15 – we buy, rises to 4.16 – we sell and so on, while the customers are pulling the rope.
5. we dig a lot on the keyboard)
6. and paragraph, which should, in theory, go first – find a broker, which, with a deal in a cent, will leave at least some crops of money for the poor scalper))))

what is it? what's wrong?

friends, who is active in scalping of you?
exactly as I described..

Results 24.11

Short in Europe, kept at the output of GDP, sorry that the third order for used :)

Second deal – sell in america, closed to zero.

Cynthia Kase

Trader and consultant Cynthia Case relies on a set of technical indicators, which it has developed for its own trading signals. Case accept decisions solely on these technical indicators and totally relies on the basic analysis. It was first introduced to trading in August 1983 when the management of Standard Oil of California – the company where she worked at the time, transferred it to the trading department under the training program management personnel. With a specialty chemical engineer, Case has brought new perspectives in the practice of trading. “In 1983 there were two things that are important and interesting in the oil trade, – says Case. – Appeared in 1983 a contract for crude oil, and the personal computer has finally worked his way into business. I persuaded them to put the computer in the room, where trading was conducted. For the trader the early 80’s I was very knowledgeable in the computer on, because I had a technical education. ”

How long should this go on now

BUSINESS CYCLE
REFERENCE DATES
DURATION IN MONTHS
Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Cycle
Quarterly dates
are in parentheses
Peak
to
Trough
Previous trough
to
this peak
Trough from
Previous
Trough
Peak from
Previous
Peak
June 1857(II)
October 1860(III)
April 1865(I)
June 1869(II)
October 1873(III)

March 1882(I)
March 1887(II)
July 1890(III)
January 1893(I)
December 1895(IV)

June 1899(III)
September 1902(IV)
May 1907(II)
January 1910(I)
January 1913(I)

August 1918(III)
January 1920(I)
May 1923(II)
October 1926(III)
August 1929(III)

May 1937(II)
February 1945(I)
November 1948(IV)
July 1953(II)
August 1957(III)

April 1960(II)
December 1969(IV)
November 1973(IV)
January 1980(I)
July 1981(III)

July 1990(III)
March 2001(I)
December 2007 (IV)

December 1854 (IV)
December 1858 (IV)
June 1861 (III)
December 1867 (I)
December 1870 (IV)
March 1879 (I)

May 1885 (II)
April 1888 (I)
May 1891 (II)
June 1894 (II)
June 1897 (II)

December 1900 (IV)
August 1904 (III)
June 1908 (II)
January 1912 (IV)
December 1914 (IV)

March 1919 (I)
July 1921 (III)
July 1924 (III)
November 1927 (IV)
March 1933 (I)

June 1938 (II)
October 1945 (IV)
October 1949 (IV)
May 1954 (II)
April 1958 (II)

February 1961 (I)
November 1970 (IV)
March 1975 (I)
July 1980 (III)
November 1982 (IV)

March 1991(I)
November 2001 (IV)


18
8
32
18
65

38
13
10
17
18

18
23
13
24
23

7
18
14
13
43

13
8
11
10
8

10
11
16
6
16

8
8


30
22
46
18
34

36
22
27
20
18

24
21
33
19
12

44
10
22
27
21

50
80
37
45
39

24
106
36
58
12

92
120
73


48
30
78
36
99

74
35
37
37
36

42
44
46
43
35

51
28
36
40
64

63
88
48
55
47

34
117
52
64
28

100
128



40
54
50
52

101
60
40
30
35

42
39
56
32
36

67
17
40
41
34

93
93
45
56
49

32
116
47
74
18

108
128
81


Average, all cycles:
1854-2001 (32 cycles)
1854-1919 (16 cycles)
1919-1945 (6 cycles)
1945-2001 (10 cycles)
17
22
18
10
38
27
35
57
55
48
53
67
56*
49**
53
67
* 31 cycles
** 15 cycles

geithner under fair

I know, you have already seen it. but by indirect signs people are imposed the following thought:
Geithner: i did a good job.
Politicians: No, while you “at the wheel” dollar fell.
(inspired by several interviews. By the way, Bernanke must go too. or raise your bid yesterday)

I don't like this world. destructive creation (in terms of Schumpeter, as an image) not yet completely destructive. 2008 ouch, come back soon, you are welcome.

PS.
No, well you seriously agree, that economically at least as much educated person can use arguments:
*while unemployment continues to rise, it's you Geithner's fault.
*and the dollar is falling, it's you Geithner's fault.
?

ЗЗЫ.
Yes, I wrote the name that way)

Explanation

I want to explain why I removed the positional short status today.
Since the critical area 20-23 November created conflicting signals and there is no quick materialization of the negative, I considered it necessary to remove the risky positional short in order to, to remove risks and so that readers comply with money management and act strictly according to plan. Sit in position and hope is wrong. Better to sit out and wait for the technical picture to be clarified.. Therefore, the style should be while scalp or swing.
I closed my small positional short at a loss, but almost blocked it with fast swing and scalp trades. If there is a delay in the materialization of the negative, then it is better to wait and maybe the situation will be, when the scalp can turn into a positional trade.

Fed liabilities

What is not enough money left with them.)))

                                                     from       Wednesday        Wednesday        Wednesday
Assets, liabilities, and capital                consolidation Nov 18, 2009     Nov 11, 2009     Nov 19, 2008
                         
Liabilities
Federal Reserve notes, net of F.R. Bank holdings                  879,357       -    1,523       +   50,740
Reverse repurchase agreements (13)                                 59,906       -      497       -   43,003
Deposits                                                 (0)    1,205,820       +   77,897       -    3,411       
  Depository institutions                                       1,109,269       +   65,034       +  478,777
  U.S. Treasury, general account                                   62,309       -      621       -    6,148
  U.S. Treasury, supplementary financing account                   14,999                0       -  493,957
  Foreign official                                                  2,957       +    1,261       +    2,774
  Other                                                  (0)       16,285       +   12,222       +   15,142
Deferred availability cash items                       (279)        2,344       -      816       -      398
Other liabilities and accrued dividends (14)                       12,684       -      141       +    8,490

      Total liabilities                                (279)    2,160,111       +   74,921       +   12,417
                          
Capital accounts
Capital paid in                                                    25,362       +      189       +    4,989
Surplus                                                            21,431       +        8       +    4,265
Other capital accounts                                              5,034       -    1,353       +    1,581

      Total capital                                                51,828       -    1,155       +   10,836

Federal Reserve Assets

Doesn't feel like owning stock, really need to find out, what's in the portfolio of Maiden Lane ( This is a holding company created with the purchase of JP Morgan Bear Stearns). In this portfolio then, that, according to the Fed's definition, it is very risky to keep JP Morgan on the bail. Probably some kind of illiquid.

9. Consolidated Statement of Condition of All Federal Reserve Banks

Millions of dollars
                                                 Eliminations                          Change since
                                                     from       Wednesday        Wednesday        Wednesday
Assets, liabilities, and capital                consolidation Nov 18, 2009     Nov 11, 2009     Nov 19, 2008

Assets
Gold certificate account                                           11,037                0                0
Special drawing rights certificate account                          5,200                0       +    3,000
Coin                                                                2,037       -       23       +      389
Securities, repurchase agreements, term auction
      credit, and other loans                                   1,994,607       +   75,616       +  721,678
  Securities held outright (1)                                  1,776,618       +   74,852       +1,287,692
    U.S. Treasury securities                                      776,527       +        7       +  300,102       
      Bills (2)                                                    18,423                0                0
      Notes and bonds, nominal (2)                                707,649                0       +  297,158
      Notes and bonds, inflation-indexed (2)                       44,643                0       +    3,572
      Inflation compensation (3)                                    5,813       +        7       -      627
    Federal agency debt securities (2)                            153,049       +    3,376       +  140,548
    Mortgage-backed securities (4)                                847,042       +   71,469       +  847,042
  Repurchase agreements (5)                                             0                0       -   80,000    
  Term auction credit                                             109,456                0       -  305,846
  Other loans                                                     108,532       +      763       -  180,170
Net portfolio holdings of Commercial Paper 
  Funding Facility LLC (6)                                         15,043       +      744       -  255,836
Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC (7)                      26,349       +       10       -      570
Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane II LLC (8)                   15,766       +       33       +   15,766
Net portfolio holdings of 
  Maiden Lane III LLC (9)                                          22,951       +       19       +   22,951
Net portfolio holdings of TALF LLC (10)                               231       +      231       +      231
Items in process of collection                         (279)          450       +       39       -      665
Bank premises                                                       2,228       +        2       +       50
Central bank liquidity swaps (11)                                  28,278       -      810       -  533,812
Other assets (12)                                                  87,764       -    2,093       +   50,074
     
      Total assets                                     (279)    2,211,939       +   73,766       +   23,253
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