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Weekend. When the dollar rises, it is profitable for me — it means that it will potentially be possible to exchange them in large quantities for the euro, And, maybe, на рубли. The fact that the markets are falling, this is not good for me, because, mostly, I trade stocks and, mostly, in the long — systemically, портфельно, краткосрочно (2-5 days). But if the dollar rises faster than the market falls, then I agree to it. All in all, till, if a miracle does not happen today in the stock market, I will be in a small minus from the beginning of the year. The trend-following system for futures is showing itself well so far, although not super, but this is all because there have been practically no trends since the moment I started trading, since the beginning of October last year. The trend tracking system for uncorrelated ETFs also came out on top.. Intraday systems, which I rarely trade, when there is inspiration, also showed a good result since the beginning of the year. IBD100 Stock CanSlim Experimental System Fared Terrible — almost all stocks have already closed, there are a few more to hang, I pulled my feet up to them — let yourself close a little — experiment failed. By rough estimates, from the beginning of the year approximately -6% on this system.
Along trend following system for futures there are few positions open now, everyone closed — there will probably be a massive change in trends, and now it's like a transitional period.
Given such dynamics and then, that the markets are oversold and as I expect a swing bounce next week, then I change the LB from the sell signal to neutral because I consider the goal achieved. Цель была1.55osmar92.livejournal.com/361521.html , today's low1.5558.
Right now I will reveal all the secrets, берегитесь! (; My grail is pretty simple, I don't know how to use it yet, but there is an instruction ((=
Briefly speaking, you must be able to trade two styles:
Neat trade entry
To average on all shoulders on Market (to top up)
#1
The first point I hone in real life. What it is? Ща расскажу.
First, you need to have a very, very clear idea of the entry point.. Accurate to one point. And a very, very short stop. Пунктов 10 — mega-maximum.
This is only possible on the smallest timeframe.. Yes, Yes, trade for a minute. I can already see skepticism. You can not read further if that (;
If we roughly estimate the average volatility. That inside the day ~ 160 points, on the M30 ~ 22 points, and on M1 Total 2.
Understandably, that the data is very rough, but the essence remains the same: minimal splash within a minute. If anyone can (wants, готов) help with getting more digestible statistics — let me know. To do this, you need to change the historical data and find data on time intervals when the volatility is small and when it goes off scale.
I can only see the meaning of inputs by levels. Bounce and bounce variation: breakdown test (which is preferable).
Here's today's example:
Global downward trend. There is some kind of correction (1-2) from which the waves went below the hai (2, 4) and below low (3, 5) . Ideally, the level of support at the point 3 should be the resistance that was broken along the way 4-5 and from which you need to push off at the point 6. Then briskly go to the side 7 draw new bottoms (then level test 1 etc.).
This is how it happened recently:
I marked the levels that served as support in points 1 And 2. This is what happened in the box:
The levels have been pierced and tested from below. Risk (стоп-лос) short entrance is very small!
Returning to today's example. That's what happened:
Didn't go according to plan, more precisely did not go according to plan. That is, they did not fly down. I went out over zeros! If there was no triangle, it would close on the stop. Would lose everything 7 points! Even if you open up to everything" — this tweezers are so few! On all 500's shoulders, this is approximately 4%!
By neat trade-entry, I think everything is clear. Едем дальше.
#2
To average on all shoulders on Market (to top up)
I have problems with this case.. I do not know how to keep poses. Scalping childhood ruined me. I train on demos.
The essence is simple. If the impulse is caught, then we transfer the stop to breakeven and add to everything that is like crazy. Stop at breakeven again and top up again.
I simplified the process of opening poses by writing a script, which immediately puts SL and TP. But moving the feet when many, many are open becomes a problem..
I finally wrote scripts today, so that you can & quot; with one click" move all feet one level. In the end it turns out something like this:
note, the last two open poses have their own take and stop levels. They are the same for all previously opened ones..
What are the risks on this screen at this moment? Well, the maximum is to break all the stops and earn nothing. Although, I think something will remain (:
This is a visual demonstration of my opinion that, what big shoulders — these are great opportunities, not big risks. You just need to use them correctly.
Here is the result for yesterday-today. Clickable.
I couldn't sleep yesterday, poking around with scripts, and today, in a more adequate condition, I completed everything.
Think, that next week the market will be sufficiently oversold or reach a certain technical zone, to try on the sly swing buy. Going back to history on this graphosmar92.livejournal.com/366891.htmland applying the same rollback in size 8.8% we come to the target on the spot 1150 * 0.912 = 1048, round up to a round number 1050 and give 10 points to the bump(1040-1050) and just an optional barrier. That is, it should be a pivot point., of course the dynamics can `` outperform '', therefore, we are waiting for stabilization in that area, followed by a rebound to MA14 in the area 1075. This scenario is a landmark in the absence of extraordinary news.