Sometimes you read some kind of trading network and there is some trader writes about his successes, about how he already 10-15 has been trading his strategy for years and his result is impressive. And here it is not the fact of the impressive result that is interesting., but the fact that he came to trade on the stock exchange and immediately began to trade a certain strategy without changing it throughout the entire time. All in all, how he was born and immediately began to hit at one point 15 years. As I knew that it was this strategy that would turn out to be correct. Understandably, certainly, that a person just wants money to manage for his successful strategy, or teach someone for money. But I could have come up with a legend and more correct.
I have, for example, at the moment no strategy is left, which I used at the beginning of my journey. And this is natural, that a person cannot immediately understand what works in the market, and what not, and than, over time, his views on trading are constantly changing, as he gains trading experience. New ideas appear, markets are changing. There is no such thing as Gerchik's — showed the newcomer the level and explained to play on the rebound / breakout of the level with a stop 5 Cents — and he has been doing this successfully all his life.
All in all, at the moment I have several directions in stock speculation. And this year, by profitability, they are distributed as follows:
1) Long-term speculation in tech stocks brought the biggest returns, of the Amazon type, Facebook and others. I don't have a fully mechanical system here. — only the point of entry and exit is mechanized, but stocks are selected manually, by looking at long-term charts and some fundamental factors. As if intuition suggested that it is necessary to use such a strategy as there is a large bull market. It happened somewhere at the beginning of last year — began to gradually increase the share in this long-term strategy.
2) I also use this strategy, I only sell options instead of shares the road около денег. As the share price rises and the put option depreciates, moving on to the next strike of a later month. Although little money is involved, because while it is trading as an experiment, but in percentage terms, the strategy is going very well so far.
3) Very flat profit, swing strategy brought almost no drawdowns from 7 subsystems on the SP500 index — I use ES futures. A similar strategy of ten subsystems for the triple ETEF UPRO is also trading successfully.
4) Lucky to find a great strategy on Collective2, called MomentumNow — subscribed to signals at the beginning of last year and do not regret at all. This year has made a very good profit.. There are also rules as in paragraph 1 — buy promising rising stocks, cut your losses, and keep the growing ones until they stop. He also noticed that he mainly chooses companies that have recently held an IPO., after which they sagged and now began their upward movement, reaching new peaks. At least he has a lot of such positions..
5) Swing systems for stocks in the last 2-3 years lost significantly in profitability. This is probably due to the fall in volatility., as well as the fact that the players switched to well-known companies, and the minor ones were left without support. This can be seen from the fact that, for example, Russell 2000 indexes, and small and mid-cap B & Ps are growing significantly worse than B & Ps500 and Nazdak100. Reduced share for swing systems this year. Although there is a profit from them, but much worse than in previous years. Moreover, these are not the same systems that were two years ago., and significantly modified. Those already do not earn at all — periodically check on tests.
6) Trend tracking systems for a diversified futures portfolio. The ultra-short-term system performed very well this year. And here are the rest — short-term, medium-term and long-term so far in a slight minus. Waiting for trends. Last time I had to wait with 2011 to 2014 of the year. It's good that at least in the middle of last year I reduced the risk per transaction with 1,5% to 1%. Therefore, I lost less than I would have lost if I did not change anything..
7) A small proportion, as an experiment, allocated for two rotation systems for shares. The first system changes once a month the first five leaders of Nasdak100 according to the SCTR method — so far so good, although it lags slightly behind the index itself. But the rotation of those lagging behind the SP500 index immediately went into negative territory and has not yet turned into profit, although it's already about zero.
Maybe I forgot something.